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Saudi Arabia managing regional instability
by Paolo von Schirach — June 22,2026 WASHINGTON – As the custodian of Islamic Holy Sites, Saudi Arabia enjoys enormous prestige and influence in the Arab world and beyond. Furthermore, the Kingdom is OPEC’s leading member. As the biggest oil producer and exporter within the fossil fuel cartel, Saudi Arabia can influence key decisions on oil production quotas within OPEC, and therefore also influence global oil prices, this way giving Riyadh the ability to shape or at least affect the world economy.
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The UAE has chosen the West
by Paolo von Schirach June 16,2026 WASHINGTON – The Abraham Accords signed on September 15, 2020 radically changed the political geography of the Middle East. It was not a total transformation; but the Accords broke a fairly solid “no deals with Israel” vast front that had been the major feature of regional politics, even while taking into account the normalization of relations that led to the establishment of diplomatic relations between Israel and Egypt (January 26, 1980) and then between Israel and Jordan, (November 27, 1994). Beyond diplomacy
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Washington Must Calibrate Expectations and Negotiate with Iran
By Ahmad Hashemi May 28,2026 President Donald Trump recently said that he was ready to resume strikes on Iran but held off on the plan at the request of Gulf Arab leaders. If anything, this is indicative of the fact that we have once again arrived at a perilous moment in American foreign policy—one that could drag us into another "forever war" in the Middle East. Yet, Trump’s military and national security advisors need to ask themselves if, militarily, the U.S. can achieve more than what has already been accomplished; considering that after a long 40-day campaign against Iran marked by real operational achievements but profound strategic failure, the limits of military power have been laid bare.
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Rethinking Mental Health Care Through Predictive Analytics and AI
By Janice Tagoe May 13,2026, Mental health systems around the world are facing mounting pressure. Rising rates of anxiety, depression, substance use disorders, and suicide risk are stretching already overwhelmed healthcare systems. At the same time, clinician shortages, fragmented care coordination, and limited intervention capacity continue to make access to timely support difficult for many patients. For years, mental health care has largely operated reactively, with providers stepping in only after symptoms become severe enough to trigger hospitalization, crisis intervention, or emergency treatment. That approach is beginning to change. Advances in machine learning are opening the door to a more proactive model of care.
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The Asset Price Distortion Bubble
By Martin Hutchinson May 6, 2026 The capitalist system works best when willing buyers meet willing sellers, and a free-market price is negotiated. In the real world of today, this market mechanism is to say the least imperfect. It falls down when governments get involved, with their unlimited funding from taxpayers. It also falls down if huge funds appear with their management’s incentives tied to something other than profit maximization for the fund’s investors. In 1929, 2000 and 2007, obvious “bubbles” appeared in particular classes of assets, respectively stocks, tech assets such as fiber optic cable and dot-coms, and housing related subprime debt. Today’s bubble appears an eldritch compound of all three types. Its Von Misesian collapse is inevitable and will doubtless be very painful and not long delayed. Student loans To begin with an asset class not normally thought of as part of the capital market, student loans
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Defence Industries must be the Backbone of a New European Security Strategy
By Laetitia von Schönburg May 5, 2026 The transformation of European defence is frequently characterised by renewed political commitment to improve countries’ security postures backed by increased defence spending. However, this perspective overlooks a more significant structural shift. Policymakers are increasingly identifying defence industrial capacity, rather than troop numbers or doctrinal reform, as the critical factor shaping a future European security strategy. More than just money This development reflects lessons learned from the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
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GPI-BAU talk series, When the Map is Wrong: Strategic Thinking and the Art of Updating Your Analysis
Thank you to everyone who joined us for the latest GPI–BAU Talk Series, When the Map is Wrong: Strategic Thinking and the Art of Updating Your Analysis. We were honored to host Donald P. Loren in conversation with Prince Taylor, Ed.D. for a thought-provoking discussion on adaptive leadership, strategic thinking, and navigating uncertainty in a changing global environment. Missed the event or want to revisit the conversation? Watch the recording here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FmOoilcAVR0 #GPITalkSeries #StrategicThinking #AdaptiveLeadership #GlobalPolicyInstitute #BayAtlanticUniversity
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Securing NATO’s Undersea Frontier
By Maurizio Geri and Tural Akhundov April 28,2026 The undersea environment has become a critical arena for asymmetric competition, as state and non-state actors increasingly engage in covert activities that exploit gaps in maritime domain awareness. From intelligence collection and seabed infrastructure interference to clandestine unmanned systems deployment, adversaries often operate below the threshold of open armed conflict, complicating detection, attribution, and response. These activities challenge NATO’s existing mechanisms of maritime domain awareness, as detection, attribution, and response are often constrained by environmental complexity, limited sensing coverage, and communication barriers.
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Latest interview featuring Global Policy Institute (GPI) President Paolo von Schirach with APA Azerbaijan
Check out the latest interview featuring Global Policy Institute (GPI) President Paolo von Schirach with APA Azerbaijan, where he discusses rising tensions in the Persian Gulf, U.S. strategy, and the risks of escalation in the region. #GPI #GPInstitute #PersianGulf #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy
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